The Coming State Power Vacuum: Preparing for Federal Collapse and the Rise of Radical Federalist Governance
The Epilogue to the Self-Terminating State Series.
The collapse is not coming. It has already begun. The idea that the federal government—no matter how dysfunctional—will always persist is an illusion. Washington’s decline is no longer a distant possibility; it is a process already underway.
Radical Federalism has long argued that states must resist federal overreach. But resistance is only half the equation. The other half is preparing—not for secession, not for revolt, but for the moment when the federal government is no longer capable of governing at all.
Today or tomorrow, that moment is coming. The only question is whether states, local communities, and families will be ready to step in when the federal structure breaks down. In many parts of the country—especially where state governments fail their residents—the family or clan becomes the irreducible “quantum” of governance, ensuring resilience from the smallest scale upward.
We’ve written on the Self-Terminating State, a system designed to outlast empires by refusing permanence, embracing fragmentation, and anchoring authority in families, towns, and federated networks. Now we explore a little from a slightly different lens.
█ Washington will erode—slowly at first, then all at once. The real question: Are we prepared to govern in its absence?
Part I: The Breakdown of Federal Power
The failure of federal governance will not occur in a single, cataclysmic event. It will be a slow-motion disintegration—one that has already begun.
Key Signs of Impending Failure
Budgetary and Debt Crises
Washington cannot pass sustainable budgets. Federal agencies rely on emergency funding measures, and debt ceilings become political weapons. When Congress can no longer fund operations, entire agencies will fail.Judicial and Executive Gridlock
Any crisis of legitimacy—be it a contested election, contradictory executive orders, or an erosion of judicial authority—brings the system to a standstill. A moment may come when no branch of government holds undisputed authority.Regulatory Collapse
Multiple federal agencies are being sabotaged or hollowed out. Their capacity to enforce laws or manage critical systems—from environmental protections to labor standards—disintegrates daily.Widespread State Noncompliance
More states, and even localities, refuse to heed federal authority—on elections, law enforcement, economic policy. As local communities and families form mutual-aid structures, institutional failure accelerates.
█ Federal collapse won’t be instant, but it’s already in motion. Those who fail to adapt will be consumed by it.
Part II: Nested Governance as the Replacement
If Washington becomes functionally irrelevant, states must step in as primary governing bodies. Yet state-level control alone may not suffice, especially in places where leadership is neglectful or hostile. History shows that resilient governance emerges from layered structures, as seen in the Balinese Subak system or the Haudenosaunee (Iroquois) Confederacy: families form the fundamental base; villages and towns coordinate regionally; states and alliances operate like flexible confederations.
Seeing Like a State and the Danger of Monocentric Measurement
In Seeing Like a State, James C. Scott warns that authoritarian failures stem from the hubris of centralized legibility—the belief that complex societies can be simplified into a neat, governable grid from above. The problem is not observation per se, but monocentric measurement: top-down attempts to flatten local realities. Historically, these attempts accelerate collapse because they erase local knowledge and nuance.
1. Lessons from the Eastern Woodlands
Before European colonization, many Eastern Woodlands peoples—including the Haudenosaunee (Iroquois Confederacy) and the Lenape—developed multi-layered governance balancing local autonomy with regional cooperation. This deliberately decentralized structure ensured no single faction or leader could seize control of the whole.
Families and Clans
Extended families governed daily life—settling internal disputes, managing shared resources, ensuring collective well-being. No distant authority interfered in these micro-level decisions.Village Councils
Families formed village councils, where leadership was based on trust and reputation rather than inherited titles or brute force. Power originated at the local level, making it hard for any single clan to dominate.Regional Confederacies
Villages formed alliances for trade, defense, and conflict resolution. By distributing authority across multiple villages, these alliances resisted both external threats and internal power grabs.The Grand Council
In the Haudenosaunee model, a Grand Council united several nations for major decisions, requiring unanimity for significant actions. No “ruler” could impose unilateral mandates from the top.
Lessons for Radical Federalism
Nested Decision-Making Prevents Capture
Each layer of governance acts as a check on corruption. No single chief or governor can centralize power indefinitely.Consensus Through Participation, Not Coercion
Laws were upheld because communities directly participated. Modern states should strive for family- and neighborhood-led decision-making over top-down mandates.Decentralized Systems Outlast Empires
The Haudenosaunee Confederacy persisted for centuries—far longer than many “mighty” empires. A fracturing Washington need not lead to chaos if local, clan-based structures fill the vacuum.
█ State governance alone is not enough. We need layered, decentralized networks so no single node—federal, state, or local—can dominate.
2.1 Economic Sovereignty: Replacing Federal Revenue
Most states rely on federal grants, Medicaid reimbursements, and infrastructure funds—money that disappears if Washington can’t function. States and local networks must:
Establish State-Run or Community-Backed Financial Institutions
Borrow independently of federal systems.Restructure Taxes
So state and local budgets aren’t held hostage to federal matching programs.Build Contingency Reserves
With partial oversight by family-based “clans” that pool resources for direct resilience.
█ Without economic sovereignty, any vision of political autonomy is a mirage. Sever federal financial dependence now—or be shackled to a dying system.
2.2 Building Continuity of Governance Plans
Most emergency plans assume federal leadership in a crisis. That assumption must be abandoned.
Amend State Constitutions
Define governance continuity if the federal government vanishes.Empower Neighborhoods and Families
Local charters should give fallback authority to the smallest units—clans, families—if state mechanisms fail.Multi-State Compacts
Replace federal oversight without simply re-creating centralized power.
█ Survival depends on preemptive planning. When Washington fails, new structures must already be in place.
2.3 Creating a Parallel Federal Infrastructure
If Washington collapses, states alone cannot handle everything. They must develop:
Regional Alliances
Supplanting federal administration with alliances that incorporate local representation to avoid new tyrannies.Independent Legal Systems
If federal courts lose legitimacy, states and local mediation bodies must fill the void.Energy, Trade, and Finance Outside Federal Control
Co-owned by states and communities, to prevent dependence on a future overlord.
But no structure, no alliance, no compact can survive long-term unless it is designed for entropy. The failure of centralized governance is not just a crisis—it is a fundamental law of all systems, from empires to ecosystems.
██ It is here that James C. Scott’s warning becomes vital: overmeasurement, overreach, and top-down “legibility” eventually crush themselves. Radical Federalism must therefore be a system that cannot be measured or collapsed into a single vantage point.
Part III: Quantum Governance—Decoherence Across Multiple Scales
The fate of all centralized power is the same: it collapses under the weight of its own measurement. The harder an empire tries to observe, dictate, and control every aspect of society, the more it forces a collapse into rebellion, noncompliance, or dysfunction. This is decoherence. This is entropy. This is the death of all empires.
1. The “Observation Problem”: Why Centralization Always Fails
In quantum physics, a system remains in superposition—full of infinite potential—until an external force tries to measure it. The moment it’s observed, it collapses into a singular, rigid state.
Governance is no different. The more a government tries to “see” into every town, every home, every transaction, every thought, the more it erases local complexity and triggers resistance. A measured system becomes a controlled system; a controlled system becomes dead.
Seeing Like a State again underscores this: the problem is not observation per se but monocentric measurement—one, singular vantage point flattening diverse local realities.
█ The less measurable a system is, the harder it is to rule. The harder it is to rule, the freer it remains. Quantum governance must be designed to defy central observation.
2. Local Entanglement Resists Central Collapse
The secret of resilience is entanglement without centralization. In quantum systems, particles remain bound together at a distance—entangled—yet no single measurement can define the entire network. Radical Federalist governance does the same:
If one region is captured, the rest of the network remains untouched.
If one state government falls into corruption, other nodes compensate.
If Washington reasserts control in one zone, the rest of the system absorbs the attack and moves forward.
A centralized nation-state is brittle—one crack, and it shatters. A quantum governance system is anti-fragile—it disperses pressure across the network and becomes stronger.
█ Washington will collapse because it was built as a monolith. Radical Federalism will endure because it was built as a web.
3. Byzantine Fault Tolerance: Why No Single Failure Can Bring Down the System
In distributed computing, Byzantine Fault Tolerance ensures that even if part of a system is compromised—by corruption, sabotage, or external attack—the whole remains operational. Radical Federalism must be built the same way:
Autonomous Rejection of Corruption
Each level—clan, town, state, multi-state confederation—functions as an independent validator, rejecting illegitimate orders autonomously.Redundant Power Flows
If a governor submits to federal rule, power bypasses that governor. If a court bows to distant mandates, multi-state pacts override it.
Every node is designed not merely to operate independently, but to counteract captured components. A government that assumes loyalty is doomed. A system that builds failure into its design can never be conquered.
█ A government that expects loyalty is already lost. A system that anticipates sabotage endures.
4. Overlapping Freedoms Prevent Total Capture
A quantum system is not singular. Multiple overlapping states exist simultaneously—until an external force tries to “measure” them into a single outcome. Radical Federalism must remain in perpetual superposition:
Families govern their own homes.
Neighborhoods govern themselves, free from city-council monoculture.
Cities enter economic alliances independent of state control.
States form compacts that function as autonomous networks.
No level of governance can look down the chain and declare, “This is the final arrangement.” There is no final arrangement.
█ The moment a system can be fully measured, it can be ruled. The moment it can be ruled, it can be taken. Radical Federalism must remain in permanent, untouchable flux.
5. Designing Governance for Self-Termination
Coherence in quantum physics does not last forever—it decays and reorganizes. This is not failure; it is how the system avoids stagnation. Governance must follow the same law:
Built-In Sunset Clauses
No law or institution should assume permanence.Self-Terminating Structures
Each body contains the seeds of its own dissolution to prevent ossification.Entropy as a Survival Mechanism
A structure that tries to last forever ironically hastens its own demise.
This is the final failure of every empire: it believes it can escape the natural law of entropy. Radical Federalism seeks not permanence, but an endless capacity to adapt.
█ The moment a governing system believes itself eternal, it has already begun to die. A Self-Terminating State embraces its own dissolution so that no ruler, no faction, no authority can ever claim it as their permanent instrument.
Part IV: What a “Post-Federal” America Could Look Like
Radical Federalism once stood as a defensive strategy—resisting Washington’s authoritarian creep. But if Washington collapses entirely, we face a new question: Who governs then?
A post-federal United States would not be total fragmentation. Instead:
A Federation of Regional Power Blocs
Multi-state confederations manage large-scale issues like trade and environmental policy. Local “quantum” units handle daily life.State Control of Taxation and Spending
With no federal budget, revenue systems shift to states or regional compacts, leaving families and neighborhoods free to shape local priorities.State-Run Security Frameworks
The National Guard and local militias replace agencies like the FBI. Clan-based defense fills gaps where state structures falter.City-Level Diplomacy
Major economies (California, Texas, New York) negotiate independent trade deals, while municipalities form micro-diplomacy networks—like the medieval Hanseatic League—to avoid mini-empires.
In practice, this means cities will increasingly conduct their own cross-border trade, infrastructure development, and policy coordination—effectively bypassing federal oversight. We have glimpses of this already: during federal gridlock, U.S. mayors forged international climate pacts on their own.
█ This isn’t fantasy. The federal government’s ability to function is eroding in plain sight. States and families must decide whether to fill the vacuum—or be swallowed by it.
Part V: The Risks of a Post-Federal Collapse Without Radical Federalist Preparation
If the federal state fails and no robust alternative arises, two catastrophes loom:
Corporate Feudalism
Private interests fill the vacuum, reducing communities to mere tenants on corporate land, with essential services sold off to the highest bidder.Authoritarian Seizure of Power
A single faction or state overrides all others, imposing a centralized tyranny.
Quantum governance deters both extremes. If each family holds a measure of sovereignty, neither corporate monopolies nor authoritarian regimes can devour them all. Nested governance ensures continuity without top-down oppression.
Part VI: The Radical Federalist Strategy for the Post-Federal Era
Formalize Regional Alliances Now
The moment federal crisis hits is too late. Begin interstate agreements for governance, infrastructure, and economy—with local voices at the table.Assert State Sovereignty Over Critical Infrastructure
Energy grids, financial institutions, healthcare systems must come under state or community control before Washington’s final implosion.Build Alternative Legal Structures
If federal courts lose legitimacy, states need their own judicial networks. Local mediation ensures no single authority monopolizes justice.Prepare Economic Insulation
Public banks and financial reserves at the state level; micro-credit co-ops at the local level. Avoid reliance on a collapsing federal purse.Develop State-Led Defense Plans
The National Guard and local militias must integrate into decentralized security. In failing states, clan-based defense prevents lawlessness—and blocks authoritarian takeovers.
█ A post-federal America is inevitable. Only by acting now—from the clan to the state—can we avert chaos.
Conclusion: Embrace the Inevitable Entropy—or Be Consumed by It
The United States already shows every warning sign of imperial decline. Dysfunction, authoritarian overreach, and economic instability are symptoms of a federal structure losing control. The question is no longer whether states should resist federal overreach—it’s whether they can govern in the vacuum of federal collapse.
That vacuum will be filled, either by carefully built nested governance or by ruthless opportunists. This is not speculation; it is happening in real time. The only viable future is one where authority is anchored in decentralized structures—families, clans, towns, states—preventing corporate feudalism or totalitarian seizure.
But make no mistake: collapse is both a threat and an opportunity. If we fail to build robust, clan-centered systems, we risk chaos or new tyrannies. If we plan ahead—using the lessons of the Eastern Woodlands, Balinese Subak, Seeing Like a State, and quantum governance—we can ensure a smooth transition into a decentralized era that cannot be captured by any single power.
Federal collapse is coming. The time to prepare is now.
A system that resists measurement endures.
A system that fragments survives.
A system that decoheres cannot be ruled.
█ The only power that endures is the power that refuses to be measured. The only government that survives is the one that knows when to die.